Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.227786 0.266533 0.312310 0.371054 0.445426 0.537823 0.663521
2024-12-29 0.172121 0.220089 0.284219 0.379050 0.520947 0.734920 1.103110
2025-01-05 0.135379 0.183607 0.253767 0.368732 0.564536 0.912017 1.656855
2025-01-12 0.115133 0.163570 0.238996 0.373758 0.631330 1.165478 2.611252
2025-01-19 0.099215 0.145954 0.222623 0.369323 0.677895 1.412620 3.915447
2025-01-26 0.089296 0.135594 0.215276 0.378028 0.754554 1.792306 6.435917
2025-02-02 0.082223 0.128504 0.211760 0.392689 0.852630 2.332526 11.548246
2025-02-09 0.075887 0.121536 0.206838 0.402632 0.945367 2.978642 21.505261
2025-02-16 0.070834 0.116027 0.203526 0.415137 1.054351 3.869914 45.754729
2025-02-23 0.066058 0.110305 0.198636 0.422347 1.153439 4.929107 108.303441
2025-03-02 0.061631 0.104640 0.192821 0.425520 1.243100 6.183177 309.270496
2025-03-09 0.057389 0.098802 0.185644 0.423027 1.312199 7.544335 1171.216781
2025-03-16 0.053070 0.092425 0.176517 0.413342 1.351190 8.892237 8056.179638
2025-03-23 0.050623 0.089601 0.175131 0.426560 1.507890 12.343240 NaN
2025-03-30 0.047088 0.084136 0.166705 0.415722 1.542346 14.611284 NaN
2025-04-06 0.044829 0.081130 0.163778 0.422014 1.677634 19.926698 NaN
2025-04-13 0.042246 0.077168 0.157920 0.416927 1.747257 25.066743 NaN
2025-04-20 0.040602 0.075091 0.156522 0.427200 1.928617 37.130262 NaN
2025-04-27 0.039369 0.073793 0.156941 0.444477 2.186798 62.199779 NaN
2025-05-04 0.038000 0.072049 0.155922 0.456211 2.428351 105.030289 NaN
2025-05-11 0.036828 0.070643 0.155619 0.470987 2.729059 203.214839 NaN
2025-05-18 0.035528 0.068817 0.153895 0.479518 2.997100 406.755154 NaN
2025-05-25 0.034176 0.066752 0.151220 0.483274 3.233567 867.993337 NaN